By John Maynard Keynes
This reissue of the authoritative Royal monetary Society variation of Essays in Persuasion incorporates a new advent through Donald Moggridge, which discusses the importance of this definitive paintings. The essays during this quantity convey Keynes' makes an attempt to persuade the process occasions by way of public persuasion over the interval of 1919-40.
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Spirit o[ the Pities Why prompts the Will so senseIess-shaped a doing? Spirit o[ the Years I have told thee that It works unwittingly, As one possessed, not judging. 5 2 THE CAPACITY OF GERMANY TO PAY REPARATIONS (1919) From The Economic Consequences olthe Peace, chapter 5, 'Reparation'. It is evident that Germany's pre-war capacity to pay an annual foreign tribute has not been unaffected by the almost total loss of her colonies, her overseas connections, her mercantile marine, and her foreign properties, by the cession of ten per cent of her territory and population, of one-third of her coal and of threequarters of her iron ore, by two million casualties amongst men in the prime of life, by the starvation of her people for four years, by the burden of a vast war debt, by the depreciation of her currency to less than one-seventh its former value, by the disruption ofher allies and their territories, by revolution at horne and Bolshevism on her borders, and by all the unmeasured ruin in strength and hope of four years of all-swallowing war and final defeat.
The fact that we have no adequate knowledge of Germany's capacity to pay over a long period of years is no justification (as I have heard some people claim that it is) for the statement that she can pay ten thousand million pounds. Why has the worId been so credulous of the unveracities of politicians? If an explanation is needed, I attribute this particular credulity to the following influences in part. In the first place) the vast expenditures of the war, the inflation of prices, and the depreciation of currency, leading up to a complete instability of the unit of value, have made us lose all sense of number and magnitude in matters of finance.
The fact that we have no adequate knowledge of Germany's capacity to pay over a long period of years is no justification (as I have heard some people claim that it is) for the statement that she can pay ten thousand million pounds. Why has the worId been so credulous of the unveracities of politicians? If an explanation is needed, I attribute this particular credulity to the following influences in part. In the first place) the vast expenditures of the war, the inflation of prices, and the depreciation of currency, leading up to a complete instability of the unit of value, have made us lose all sense of number and magnitude in matters of finance.